Oddball-Context
0x66a9a7a100e4f498bd1659bca10a9c2f7c87e660
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$55.93
Total PnL
$-82.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9PM ET
26 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$25.51
$0.51
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
21 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$20.53
$0.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$7.35
$2.35
- UNDER
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$2.53
$0.53
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
51 shares @ 98.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-49.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2AM ET
11 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.28
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
10 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
3 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5$2.01Jun 10, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$20.03Jun 10, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 10?$5.11Jun 10, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9PM ET$25.03Jun 10, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$12.90Jun 9, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$13.14Jun 9, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$13.01May 27, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$12.04May 27, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 15?$14.13May 27, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on May 15?$25.94May 27, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$26.16May 27, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 15?$25.06May 15, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 15?$13.07May 15, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$26.01May 15, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$36.62May 15, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$36.03May 10, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$2.00May 10, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$11.03May 10, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$12.71May 10, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?$15.43May 10, 22:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $20.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 14:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 01:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.