Fearless-Aggression
0x66c1a6fe836ff555ca32848646acedbbe93bfa3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$104.9K
Total PnL
$-120.36
Realised
$116.11
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$49.7K
$24.7K
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 87.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.5K
$7.5K
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$16.0K
$6.0K
- NO
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
13000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.8K
$6.3K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.0K
$-6.0K
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 12.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.5K
$-7.5K
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$325.00
$-24.7K
- YES
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
3193 shares @ 13.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$287.37
$-128.63
- YES
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?
1017 shares @ 56.1¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$228.87
$-341.93
- YES
Will Trump say "Affordable" or "Affordability" in August?
238 shares @ 87.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$220.49
$12.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Affordable" or "Affordability" in August?$208.73Jul 29, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Central Casting" in August?$28.68Jul 29, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cat" in July?$4.87Jul 29, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leavitt say "Alien" during the next White House Press Briefing?$25.23Jul 29, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leavitt say "Border" during the next White House Press Briefing?$242.64Jul 29, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "First Lady" this week?$17.87Jul 29, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "First Lady" this week?$18.98Jul 29, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?$6.25Jul 29, 05:12 UTC
- SPLITWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.0KJul 29, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Border" during the next White House Press Briefing?$250.66Jul 29, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "First Lady" this week?$24.64Jul 29, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "First Lady" this week?$54.63Jul 29, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Trump Account" this week?$115.11Jul 29, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Top Five" or "Top Ten" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$0.00Jul 29, 03:24 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.15Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Voter ID" during Tele-Rally?$20.00Jul 29, 00:42 UTC
- YIELD$9.05Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.56Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$3.54Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$999.27Jul 28, 21:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $90.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 12:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 10:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.