Pastel-Minnow
0x66ec8127db3c8b23bf1124905b3b4a4480ba3adf
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$13.64
Total PnL
$-148.52
Realised
$34.76
Win rate
100%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UNDER
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Aug 29, 2026$5.35
$0.25
- YES
Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.83
$0.72
- YES
QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.27
$-0.07
- YES
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?
5 shares @ 27.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$1.38
$0.03
- YES
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?
5 shares @ 15.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.93
$0.17
- YES
Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027?
5 shares @ 13.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.80
$0.15
- YES
Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
5 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.04
$-0.26
- YES
Will Microsoft be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.02
$-0.03
- YES
Will DeepSeek be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?
5 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.09
- YES
Will Justin Liberto win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year?
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.01
$-0.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?$5.00Aug 14, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMTitans vs. 49ers$1.56Aug 14, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?$5.00Aug 13, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Burgas host Eurovision 2027?$5.00Aug 13, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sofia host Eurovision 2027?$5.00Aug 13, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?$5.00Aug 12, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?$5.00Aug 11, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 31?$0.14Aug 10, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 31?$0.00Aug 10, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill BlackRock (BLK) Q2 quarterly total net inflows be above $175B?$0.20Aug 10, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 31?$0.20Aug 10, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4?$0.23Aug 10, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4?$0.00Aug 10, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5?$0.00Aug 10, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5?$0.00Aug 10, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMFubon Guardians vs. Wei Chuan Dragons$0.58Aug 10, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMFubon Guardians vs. Wei Chuan Dragons$0.00Aug 10, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 5?$0.62Aug 10, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 44°C on August 2?$0.74Aug 10, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5?$0.79Aug 10, 21:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 22:22 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 11:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.