Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?
Probability
82¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$200.00
Liquidity
$1.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6009h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $1.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6009.5h
- 19:30SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 6009h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 82¢.
Biggest hourly move: -6.0pp at 2d ago (to 82¢).
Show all 9 hour-by-hour ticks
- 2d ago · -5.5pp → 83¢
- 2d ago · +5.5pp → 89¢
- 2d ago · -6.0pp → 82¢
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 83¢
- 2d ago · -5.5pp → 82¢
- 2d ago · -5.5pp → 84¢
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 84¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 83¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 84¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the DFM Real Estate Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- tradingview.comSource not classifiedextracted · lowtradingview.com
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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