Gaseous-Tennis
0x66f94e9c2b5d0d0079d96693ef15fb7a281eadb9
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$22.2K
Total PnL
$274.90
Realised
$50.37
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
3001 shares @ 59.2¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.0K
$232.73
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
14832 shares @ 5.8¢·now 13.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.0K
$1.1K
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
2101 shares @ 38.5¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$935.04
$126.18
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
2001 shares @ 40.3¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$830.59
$23.75
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
30032 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$762.82
$-147.13
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
15023 shares @ 5.4¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$728.62
$-87.94
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
2500 shares @ 14.6¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$587.54
$221.30
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
21390 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$524.05
$82.33
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
1032 shares @ 51.7¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$510.91
$-23.27
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
2725 shares @ 20.8¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$504.16
$-61.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$5.17Jul 28, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?$1.03Jul 28, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?$1.58Jul 28, 12:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.56Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?$0.50Jul 27, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?$1.04Jul 27, 12:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.56Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?$6.00Jul 26, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$0.60Jul 26, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?$0.10Jul 26, 10:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.56Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$7.28Jul 25, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.77Jul 25, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$10.40Jul 25, 13:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.55Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?$0.10Jul 24, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$15.29Jul 24, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$21.52Jul 24, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.02Jul 24, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$8.28Jul 24, 14:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $10.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 22:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.