Thankful-Debate
0x6705f403f1ad7ee547f2440d8320d06504887ddc
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$211.49
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-58.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
228 shares @ 27.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$151.62
$90.06
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
54 shares @ 46.7¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$49.71
$24.49
- NO
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
19 shares @ 86.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.16
$-6.17
- NO
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?
789 shares @ 43.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-340.06
- NO
Will the Brown University shooter not be arrested in 2025?
738 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-405.90
- NO
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?
369 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-276.75
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?
134 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-14.74
- NO
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?
132 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-67.32
- NO
GPT ads by March 31?
68 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-53.72
- YES
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?
7 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.82
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$321.00Jun 9, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMOver $22M committed to the Space public sale?$533.00Jun 9, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Buffalo Bills be eliminated in the Divisional Round?$30.00Jun 9, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$108.00Jun 9, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLInsurrection Act invoked by March 31?$12.64Feb 8, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$5.00Jan 12, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?$59.72Jan 11, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Buffalo Bills be eliminated in the Divisional Round?$9.43Jan 11, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $22M committed to the Space public sale?$447.72Jan 11, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$322.56Jan 11, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$326.40Jan 11, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLCap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?$46.98Jan 11, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$125.80Jan 11, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$117.66Jan 11, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Jacksonville Jaguars be eliminated in the Divisional Round?$107.20Jan 11, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Jacksonville Jaguars be eliminated in the Divisional Round?$194.97Jan 11, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Jacksonville Jaguars be eliminated in the Divisional Round?$338.25Jan 11, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Buffalo Bills be eliminated in the Divisional Round?$97.44Jan 11, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luís Marques Mendes win the first round by less than 2%?$12.70Jan 11, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$243.46Jan 11, 03:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $127.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 06:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 03:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.