Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
Probability
26¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$6.99
Liquidity
$18.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5991.4h
- 08:33SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5991h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 26¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 26¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 26¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 26¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 36¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 36¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 36¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%. Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).