Bite-Sized-Wren
0x67095ae2a73aff8a3d6bb0cf3570eda8908daf18
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$744.07
Total PnL
$-967.24
Realised
$65.46
Win rate
66%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- NO
Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?
70 shares @ 78.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$57.69
$3.48
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April?
51 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$51.37
$0.05
- YES
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
50 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.00
$4.00
- NO
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
49 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$48.76
$20.48
- NO
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?
48 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$47.68
$0.24
- NO
Will Alea Nadeem be the Republican nominee for OH-09?
47 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$46.72
$0.43
- NO
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
42 shares @ 81.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$41.89
$7.71
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?
42 shares @ 92.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$41.67
$3.30
- NO
Will Scottish Liberal Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
41 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$41.02
$0.08
- NO
Will José Luna finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
33 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$33.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
78/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
66% win rate over 38 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
38 closed markets, 66% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.