Somber-Hypothesis
0x674c64d342ae67fbe6cce12b5dc8a39deb36e4f3
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$146.08
Total PnL
$-20.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
43 shares @ 70.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$26.79
$-3.21
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
22 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$20.32
$0.32
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
45 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$19.77
$-0.23
- YES
Major US official out by May 31?
30 shares @ 66.1¢·now 62.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.76
$-1.24
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
21 shares @ 71.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$15.53
$0.53
- NO
Will Donald Trump dance on May 2, 2026?
15 shares @ 97.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.99
$-2.01
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by April 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.20
$0.20
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$9.43
$-0.57
- NO
Will Donald Trump dance on May 3, 2026?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.83
$-2.16
- NO
Will Donald Trump dance on May 4, 2026?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.47
$-0.53
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by April 30, 2026?$0.0019h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$12.1319h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$15.1720h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$10.1620h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$20.4520h ago
- TRADEBUYMajor US official out by May 31?$20.0020h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on May 4, 2026?$5.0020h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on May 3, 2026?$10.0120h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on May 2, 2026?$15.0220h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$30.002d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$20.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by April 30, 2026?$10.0016d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by April 30, 2026?$5.0016d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $14.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 16d ago
- Last active
- 19h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".