High-Thrift
0x674fa984e0cb302191fb138d8905bab6ea2cd309
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$5.72
Total PnL
$-435.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
24 shares @ 37.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.72
$-3.28
- YES
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
3650 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-104.39
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by October 31?
1290 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
Will iPhone 17 cost more than $800?
363 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
67 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
US government shutdown in 2025?
45 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
25 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.70
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$63.09Apr 13, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$30.00Apr 2, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$9.00Mar 13, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$30.00Jan 7, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$36.40Dec 10, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$68.00Dec 10, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$93.30Dec 4, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$95.00Dec 4, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$72.54Dec 4, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$1.83Dec 4, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$2.70Nov 19, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$55.00Nov 4, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Mavericks$57.14Oct 27, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$20.00Oct 23, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Mavericks$20.00Oct 23, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLJames Comey arrested by October 31?$35.45Oct 8, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by October 31?$180.00Oct 3, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Comey arrested by October 31?$20.00Oct 3, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?$5.00Oct 3, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$15.89Sep 29, 19:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $42.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 8, 18:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 15:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.