0x6770c2a1a27174229963fe90d8334c4d8013c7b0
0x6770c2a1a27174229963fe90d8334c4d8013c7b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$77.54
Total PnL
$5.29
Realised
$0.40
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
35 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.00
$3.00
- NO
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.47
$0.92
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.56
$0.30
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 90.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.17
$0.59
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
1 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.33
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$0.30Apr 27, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?$10.00Apr 27, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO by June 30?$5.13Apr 27, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$0.30Apr 26, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$0.84Apr 25, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$0.84Apr 25, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$0.51Apr 25, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$0.32Apr 24, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$0.01Apr 24, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$0.33Apr 23, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO by June 30?$3.81Apr 18, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO by June 30?$10.00Apr 18, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$0.47Apr 18, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$0.02Apr 18, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$0.01Apr 18, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$1.03Apr 18, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$0.06Apr 17, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$0.10Apr 17, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$0.03Apr 16, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$0.05Apr 16, 14:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 15:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 19:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.