Naive-Con
0x6776a0c2af9003c03683d1e8e0397553e65ab465
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$53.22
Total PnL
$-14.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
51 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.90
$-0.10
- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.31
$0.01
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
1 shares @ 95.9¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,700 on May 6?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 19?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
430 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C or below on June 11?
231 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
163 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.79
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$81.08Jun 12, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 10?$42.04Jun 10, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$81.00Jun 9, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1.26Jun 9, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C or below on June 11?$1.15Jun 9, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 10?$42.00Jun 9, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.04May 31, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$51.00May 31, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$6.01May 31, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$171.17May 31, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$6.00May 5, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,700 on May 6?$1.07May 5, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$171.00May 5, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$178.17May 5, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$178.00Apr 26, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$179.79Apr 26, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$179.62Apr 21, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$179.34Apr 21, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$179.00Apr 16, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$179.17Apr 16, 02:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $88.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 09:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 18:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.