Surprised-Horror
0x678aee47fbf4646e3c6d9aeb6af9485a689841ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$25.85
Total PnL
$0.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.03
$1.03
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
3 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.96
$0.00
- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.56
$0.56
- NO
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.17
$0.17
- NO
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.08
$0.08
- NO
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$2.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$2.96Apr 18, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$2.00Apr 18, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?$2.00Apr 18, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$3.00Apr 18, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$3.00Apr 18, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$3.00Apr 18, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?$2.00Apr 18, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?$2.00Apr 18, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?$2.00Apr 18, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$2.00Apr 18, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMOver $2M committed to the Makina public sale?$0.00Apr 18, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $2M committed to the Makina public sale?$3.00Dec 3, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$1.25Oct 30, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$28.21Oct 30, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$28.15Aug 31, 21:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?$4.00Jul 10, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMCHIPS Act repealed before July?$4.01Jul 10, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump remove 10% blanket tariff before July?$4.02Jul 10, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMiPhone 16 pro costs $1,399 or more before July? $4.02Jul 10, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$11.34Jul 10, 11:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $53.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 21:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 15:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.