Outgoing-Penny
0x684592063acf613e2d0d5887256a0c16cb48c125
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$657.41
Total PnL
$-5.3K
Realised
$1.4K
Win rate
58%
62 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
2541 shares @ 3.0¢·now 22.6¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$573.04
$497.71
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.6¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$56.00
$-43.84
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
823 shares @ 3.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.38
$3.70
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
30091 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-105.65
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
19579 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-19.58
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
8615 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-8.62
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$98.95Jun 4, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$104.33Jun 4, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$69.70Jun 4, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$104.00Jun 3, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$11.31Jun 3, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$50.28Jun 3, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$0.50Jun 3, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$43.25Jun 3, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$55.97Jun 3, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$2.39Jun 3, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$4.41Jun 3, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$1.77Jun 3, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$5.39Jun 3, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$54.31Jun 3, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$1.04Jun 3, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$25.63Jun 3, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$44.10Jun 3, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$64.01Jun 3, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$59.05Jun 3, 01:27 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.81Jun 3, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $52.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 02:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 07:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 62 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".