Loud-Incarnation
0x685e0ed854e8b5fbd7b97e3152873a963661b63a
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$6.43
Total PnL
$-40.82
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.45
$0.04
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 6?
5390 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.78
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 27?
2103 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.21
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on April 25?
2084 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 30?
2072 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.14
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 19?
2067 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-8.27
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 21?
2067 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.13
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 28?
2061 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.12
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on January 23?
1057 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $275?$10.43Jun 12, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $275?$10.40Jun 12, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$12.35Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$12.30May 30, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$12.34May 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$12.30May 21, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.53May 14, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?$8.23May 14, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?$8.20May 7, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 30?$4.14May 1, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 28?$4.12Apr 29, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 27?$4.21Apr 27, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on April 25?$4.17Apr 26, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 21?$4.13Apr 22, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,500 April 13-19?$2.1KApr 20, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 April 13-19?$2.1KApr 20, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 19?$2.1KApr 20, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 19?$2.1KApr 19, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $100 on April 18?$2.1KApr 19, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 on April 18?$2.1KApr 18, 23:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $483.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 07:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 20:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.