Closed-Zoology
0x68651d6ff048f1d5302dc3932ca75ed2d0c3acf8
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$36.45
Total PnL
$-217.69
Realised
$-5.82
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?
118 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Aug 30, 2026$35.85
$-0.59
- YES
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?
36 shares @ 11.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.60
$-3.40
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
172 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
91 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- ARGENTINA
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
90 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-37.03
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
86 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-33.37
- YES
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?
82 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-26.23
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
62 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
56 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?$37.70Aug 19, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$4.88Aug 12, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$22.28Aug 7, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia coup attempt in 2026?$11.13Aug 7, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$5.16Aug 4, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$5.75Aug 4, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$5.15Aug 4, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?$4.14Aug 2, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia coup attempt in 2026?$14.84Jul 31, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$10.47Jul 26, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$45.17Jul 26, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$27.78Jul 26, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$38.12Jul 19, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$6.52Jul 18, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$3.35Jul 18, 14:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$25.74Jul 14, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$34.39Jul 14, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) AND Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$9.99Jul 11, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?$6.97Jul 11, 11:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $22.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 18:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.