Reflecting-Spill
0x689425ff74136dd643cb4ba0627c6373e2fa5a2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$37.10
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-12.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
3215 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-13.50
- YES
Will White House post 100-119 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
2930 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-198.68
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
2171 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
1958 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will White House post 80-99 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
1490 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
1431 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will White House post 20-39 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$31.25Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$44.44Jun 13, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$20.25Jun 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$20.22Jun 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$20.25Jun 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$1.05Jun 12, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$20.55Jun 12, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$4.20May 19, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?$1.04May 19, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 3?$6.24May 19, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$4.20May 19, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$5.25May 19, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$5.25May 19, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$5.25May 19, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$5.25May 19, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$0.00May 13, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$105.82May 12, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.05May 11, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$100.28May 9, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.05May 9, 17:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $19.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 12:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.