Loading shell…
OtherMulti-outcomeExpires May 1, 2026

Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Probability

36¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+11.5pp

24h Vol

$75.00

Liquidity

$315.97

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 05:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:37
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 12pp over 24h

    Now 36¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 147h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 15.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 147.4h

    LOW
  • 12:37Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 147h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 25.5pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -20.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -22.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -24.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -25.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -25.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -19.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -21.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseOfficial government source
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (15.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).