Firsthand-Scarecrow
0x68b96969b44a3e576bfcef742c98d90b076cab9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$4.05
Total PnL
$-8.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
4 shares @ 74.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$4.05
$1.05
- YES
Solana all time high by June 30?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Robinhood self-certifies sports event contract by March 31?
2 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
NBA Finals G7: Will Haliburton score 15+ points against the Thunder?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGTA 6 launch postponed again?$1.05May 11, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$1.01May 11, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA 6 launch postponed again?$1.00Apr 5, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$2.00Mar 20, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$2.00Feb 15, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLMajor meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?$2.05Feb 15, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?$2.33Feb 15, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMajor meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?$2.00Jan 22, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?$2.30Jan 22, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?$2.00Dec 30, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?$2.00Dec 30, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYRobinhood self-certifies sports event contract by March 31? $1.70Nov 28, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$1.69Nov 28, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLTech Release Parlay$2.73Nov 28, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?$2.60Nov 28, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$2.00Oct 22, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTech Release Parlay$2.00Oct 22, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31?$2.25Oct 22, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?$3.61Oct 22, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31?$2.00Sep 23, 20:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 20:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 19:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".