Common-Nitrogen
0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
169
Open notional
$368.2K
Total PnL
$109.1K
Realised
$42.5K
Win rate
77%
52 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 169- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
257155 shares @ 22.2¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$73.3K
$16.1K
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
55000 shares @ 82.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.7K
$6.6K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
52413 shares @ 34.6¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$33.8K
$15.7K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
32204 shares @ 69.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.0K
$9.8K
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
30000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 76.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$23.1K
$8.1K
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
13232 shares @ 69.1¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.3K
$2.2K
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
244448 shares @ 3.8¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.4K
$985.37
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
11000 shares @ 15.6¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$9.1K
$7.4K
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
30000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 23.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.9K
$-8.1K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
40078 shares @ 17.9¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.0K
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$4.5KJun 15, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$1.3KJun 15, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$374.71Jun 15, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$1.6KJun 15, 00:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$5.3KJun 15, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$14.8KJun 15, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.32Jun 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$6.20Jun 15, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$16.46Jun 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$917.52Jun 14, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$8.1KJun 14, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$148.99Jun 14, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$11.02Jun 14, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$74.50Jun 14, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$74.50Jun 14, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3.5KJun 14, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$30.24Jun 14, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$17.18Jun 14, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.02Jun 14, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$14.9KJun 14, 22:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$44.8K
Trades
4
Buy share
54%
Window
May 21, 16:11 UTC → Jun 14, 22:18 UTC
- SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$14.9K@76¢Jun 14, 22:18 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$14.6K@36¢May 25, 12:23 UTC
- SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$5.6K@59¢May 21, 18:05 UTC
- BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$9.8K@35¢May 21, 16:10 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$14.9K
1 trades
30d volume
$44.8K
4 trades
Buy share
54%
Sample
limited
4 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
$14.9K · 33% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 21:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 04:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 52 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.