Evil-Efficiency
0x68c550a534a42d72102a969b51ae84d750e4474c
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.57
Total PnL
$-36.76
Realised
$3.65
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.39
$-0.61
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
7 shares @ 20.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.14
$-1.26
- YES
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
7 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.04
$-1.57
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 29?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?
46 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on May 26?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- THEMONGOLZ
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
32 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.90Jun 2, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.04Jun 2, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.03Jun 2, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.05May 26, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 26, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?$1.04May 26, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 27?$1.04May 26, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?$1.84May 26, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?$2.40May 26, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 27?$3.26May 26, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?$2.43May 26, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 27?$1.05May 26, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?$1.04May 26, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?$1.04May 26, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 26?$1.04May 26, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 36°C on May 26?$1.05May 26, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26?$1.04May 26, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?$1.03May 26, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26?$1.03May 26, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 23?$0.00May 24, 18:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 14:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 20:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.