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OtherExpires

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?

Probability

1h

-5.9pp

24h

+4.0pp

24h Vol

$37.2K

Liquidity

$3.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

-1.6pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:35
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 4pp over 24h

    Now 8¢; -5.9pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Heavy volume on this book — 9.6× turnover

    $37.2k traded against $3.9k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 6.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 15.1pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 22.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 33.1pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 27.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 29.6pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 18.6pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 13.6pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 13.9pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 13.9pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 18.1pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 10.7pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 19:00Price

    Probability up 26.9pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.3pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.6pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.6pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.6pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.9pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.7pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.7pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.9pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.9pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.9pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.7pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.7pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.7pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.7pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.7pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Valve adds the map Cache to the official map pool by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Cache is added to the Active Duty pool, it must remain there continuously for at least 48 hours for this market to resolve to “Yes”. Temporary additions (e.g., for testing) that are reversed within 48 hours will not count. If Cache is added after the deadline, this market will resolve to “No”, even if the addition was announced earlier. For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series. For the purpose of this market, the “official map pool” refers to the Active Duty map group in Counter-Strike 2 (CS2), which consists of the maps eligible for both competitive matchmaking and professional tournaments. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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