Long-Simplicity
0x68d467b151f77100ed216e9eda0a41b8f5515144
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$34.85
Total PnL
$-13.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$15.63
$5.63
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$12.35
$2.35
- NO
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
3 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$3.46
$0.15
- NO
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.87
$0.87
- NO
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.41
$-1.59
- YES
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.14
$-0.86
- YES
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
13 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.31Jan 27, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple release AirTag 2 by June 30?$0.00Jan 27, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple release AirTag 2 by June 30?$2.60Jan 27, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$0.37Jan 16, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?$2.00Jan 16, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?$1.00Jan 16, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release AirTag 2 by June 30?$2.00Jan 16, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$2.00Jan 16, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?$1.00Jan 16, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?$1.00Jan 16, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?$1.00Jan 16, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?$1.00Jan 16, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?$1.00Jan 16, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?$1.00Jan 16, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$1.00Jan 16, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$1.00Jan 16, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$1.00Jan 16, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$1.00Jan 16, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$1.00Jan 16, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Jan 16, 11:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $2.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 11:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 08:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.