Kind-Connotation
0x68d4c56b4bada03d7d4a7052a5b76047344f0a9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
85
Open notional
$9.65
Total PnL
$-896.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 85- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
221 shares @ 14.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.97
$-22.03
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.68
$-1.32
- YES
Will Uzbekistan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
1894 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1346 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1020 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
943 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Sweden reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
868 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
741 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
714 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$183.23Jul 15, 23:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $33.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 11:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.