Vivid-Bowling
0x68e1988977be52cb6f0b4840b8f9d445d3b3d73b
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-697.82
Realised
$-28.84
Win rate
24%
74 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 20?
1060 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C or below on May 21?
1060 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C or below on May 20?
1049 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- NO
Fight to Go the Distance?
300 shares @ 68.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-205.50
- KHAMZAT CHIMAEV
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
240 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-194.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 20?
122 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 21?
105 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 21?
105 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on April 18?
50 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 24?
50 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 17?$17.02May 23, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 18?$10.00May 22, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 18?$10.00May 22, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 18?$13.70May 22, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 21?$5.00May 21, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 21?$10.00May 21, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 21?$3.55May 21, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 21?$1.87May 21, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 21?$1.10May 21, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 21?$2.94May 21, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 21?$2.63May 21, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 21?$1.10May 21, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 21?$1.93May 21, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 21?$2.77May 21, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 21?$4.71May 21, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 17?$10.00May 21, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 21?$1.67May 21, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C or below on May 21?$1.10May 21, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 17?$16.61May 21, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on May 20?$16.62May 21, 01:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
24% win rate over 74 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
74 closed markets, 24% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 23:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 17:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 74 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.