Next-Shakedown
0x69119ce0c167b74a5377c373b9a23b6081d2947c
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$213.32
Total PnL
$-4.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
822 shares @ 17.6¢·now 15.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$126.52
$-18.48
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
1181 shares @ 22.3¢·now 7.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$86.80
$-176.56
- OVER
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 145.5
5000 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?
4527 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-530.98
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
3918 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-700.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
2014 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-627.00
- YES
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
2000 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-76.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1689 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.82
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?
734 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-134.66
- YES
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?
600 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$149.78Jul 29, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$96.90Jul 26, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$34.00Jul 26, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$6.80Jul 26, 20:03 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.06Jul 26, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.29Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$263.36Jul 25, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$12.29Jun 2, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?$1.71Jun 2, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELL Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?$10.71May 14, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$429.91Apr 28, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$134.00Apr 21, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$133.83Apr 18, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$147.00Mar 30, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLCambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?$147.00Mar 30, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$480.00Mar 30, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMIowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 144.5$22.00Mar 26, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?$99.94Mar 25, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?$0.06Mar 25, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?$509.91Mar 25, 18:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $430.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 16:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.