Threadbare-Tinderbox
0x69180e62991f20a67557097859251a66d4072cc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-62.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?
4800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- OTTO VIRTANEN
Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Otto Virtanen
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- ALINA CHARAEVA
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Alina Charaeva
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on April 15?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
206 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
45 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-24.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
20 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.73
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
18 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.73
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.00May 14, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$3.15May 14, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$40.70May 14, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$25.25May 14, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on May 3?$0.48May 2, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on May 3?$1.05May 2, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$0.00May 2, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$4.70May 2, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$5.26May 2, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$9.33May 2, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$5.17May 2, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$3.81May 2, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.00Apr 17, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Apr 17, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Apr 14, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on April 15?$1.00Apr 14, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$5.00Apr 14, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$6.00Apr 14, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpen Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Alina Charaeva$1.00Apr 14, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?$1.00Apr 14, 15:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $6.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 15:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 15:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.