Flawed-Thrill
0x6921011e613a4e4faeb314f9c39f0c56ea7189c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$36.03
Total PnL
$-1.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
28 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$28.21
$0.21
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.23
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in June 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.23
$-0.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.19
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 15?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.16
$-0.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 14?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 14?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
317 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$1.00Jun 14, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 14?$1.00Jun 14, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in June 2026?$1.23Jun 14, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 14?$1.00Jun 14, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 15?$1.16Jun 14, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15?$1.19Jun 14, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14?$1.23Jun 14, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$41.50Jun 12, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$31.09Jun 11, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$31.00Jun 10, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$41.02Jun 10, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$28.00Jun 10, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 6?$101.10Jun 6, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 6?$101.01Jun 5, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 31?$84.08Jun 1, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$16.02May 30, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 31?$84.01May 30, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$1.28May 30, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$16.00May 30, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?$102.10May 28, 06:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $42.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 06:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.