Adventurous-Past
0x69260975a8ad12a85f6248b4d3357a95f10d382d
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$109.34
Total PnL
$15.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
59 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$58.82
$8.82
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
38 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$37.50
$7.50
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.44
$1.44
- YES
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?
3 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$3.23
$1.23
- YES
Will Honeywell International (HON) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$1.23
$0.23
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by December 31?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Manchester City vs. Everton end in a draw?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?$1.00Feb 1, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$1.00Jan 1, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Dec 23, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.00Nov 22, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$30.00Nov 2, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jia Yueting enter mainland China by December 31?$1.00Oct 29, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$50.00Oct 22, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Honeywell International (HON) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City vs. Everton end in a draw?$1.00Oct 8, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?$2.00Oct 5, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?$1.00Oct 3, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win on 2025-10-01?$1.16Oct 3, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-10-01?$1.00Oct 1, 01:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $7.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 1, 01:42 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 07:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".