0x692a16b7f1be3ca3902575d7c119f6f618be55d6
0x692a16b7f1be3ca3902575d7c119f6f618be55d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$13.90
Total PnL
$-2.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
2 shares @ 52.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
6 shares @ 24.4¢·now 23.3¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$1.33
$-0.07
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 74.6¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.96
$-0.04
- NO
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.20 in July?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$1.51Jul 25, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$1.06Jul 25, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?$1.07Jul 25, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$1.04Jul 25, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 31?$1.06Jul 25, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05Jul 25, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.20 in July?$1.10Jul 25, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.09Jul 25, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$5.82Jul 25, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.00Jul 25, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.96Jul 25, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$0.00Jul 25, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?$1.07Jul 24, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.05Jul 24, 21:38 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$2.17Jul 24, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.08Jul 24, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - July 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$0.93Jul 24, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.07Jul 24, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - July 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$0.12Jul 24, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.04Jul 24, 21:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 22:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 14:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.