Assured-Behold
0x6966919033a8dfc5947ca2f88eb2df91e25c0c9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$13.23
Total PnL
$-4.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
X Money released by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.34
$0.00
- NO
Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$1.74
$0.02
- NO
Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.56
$0.02
- NO
Will Opendoor reach $10 in April?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.52
$0.00
- NO
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.41
$0.00
- NO
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.27
$0.00
- NO
Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.27
$0.00
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$0.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.06
$0.01
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 20,000,000 and 22,000,000?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Craig Nash win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?$1.34Jul 14, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill PH win the 2026 Johor general elections?$1.38Jul 11, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Craig Nash win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?$1.34Jul 11, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PH win the 2026 Johor general elections?$1.32Jul 11, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill White House post 180-199 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$1.17Jul 8, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 180-199 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$1.15Jul 5, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 29?$1.13Jun 30, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 8°C or below on June 29?$1.17Jun 29, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 29?$1.13Jun 29, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 8°C or below on June 29?$1.17Jun 29, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.27Jun 23, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 15, 2026?$1.42Jun 16, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.27Jun 15, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 15, 2026?$1.42Jun 15, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYX Money released by May 31, 2026?$2.34Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYDOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?$1.41May 9, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor reach $10 in April?$1.52Apr 30, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.54Apr 29, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 100-119 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.27Apr 29, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 120-139 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$1.72Apr 15, 07:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 03:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 02:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.