Tedious-Cap
0x69781f26c47e2aee43904188e48436b525e51ab6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-293.93
Realised
$3.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
20000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Khamenei seen in public before July?
1015 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
827 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-93.70
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?
799 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-79.93
- NO
Trump approval >40% on July 1?
212 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in April 2026?
106 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Qatar military action against Iran by Friday?
69 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Another US military action against Iran by Friday?
48 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Monday?
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1.00Apr 8, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Keir Starmer in April 2026?$30.00Mar 31, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$30.00Jan 28, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 28, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 15, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 15, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$45.56Jan 11, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$1.00Jan 10, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$40.00Jan 10, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?$9.93Aug 11, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?$70.00Aug 11, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUY Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?$20.00Aug 11, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUY Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?$50.00Aug 9, 07:18 UTC
- MERGE Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?$10.00Aug 9, 07:11 UTC
- SPLIT Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?$10.00Aug 9, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUY Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?$20.00Aug 9, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?$73.35Aug 8, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Monday?$4.00Aug 8, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5 be released on August 7?$3.75Aug 7, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released on August 7?$4.00Aug 7, 18:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $26.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 18:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 20:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.