PoliticsExpires Apr 30, 2026

Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in April 2026?

Probability

4¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-3.5pp

24h Vol

$806.71

Liquidity

$33.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

-7.5pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 05:00Apr 25, 2026, 19:42
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Down 4pp over 24h

    Now 4¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 100h with open resolution ambiguity.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 100.3h

    LOW
  • 19:42Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 100h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-3.5pp over the last 24h, now 4¢.

Biggest hourly move: -10.0pp at 15:00 (to 4¢).

Show all 17 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 19:00 · -10.0pp → 4¢
  • 17:00 · -10.0pp → 4¢
  • 15:00 · -10.0pp → 4¢
  • 14:00 · -9.0pp → 5¢
  • 12:00 · -8.0pp → 6¢
  • 11:00 · -8.0pp → 6¢
  • 09:00 · -7.5pp → 6¢
  • 08:00 · -6.0pp → 7¢
  • 06:00 · -6.5pp → 7¢
  • 05:00 · -6.0pp → 7¢
  • 03:00 · -6.0pp → 7¢
  • 02:00 · -7.0pp → 7¢
  • 00:00 · -5.0pp → 7¢
  • 23:00 · -5.0pp → 7¢
  • 21:00 · -4.5pp → 8¢
  • 20:00 · -4.5pp → 8¢
  • 1d ago · -6.5pp → 6¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventWho will Trump meet with in April?
Category · Politics

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between April 1, and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
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