Miserable-Samovar
0x697dec15c64eab5b167dae5a3de2acd80983f299
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$481.01
Total PnL
$-557.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
208 shares @ 48.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$83.33
$-16.67
- NO
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
313 shares @ 16.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$54.69
$4.69
- NO
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
123 shares @ 38.6¢·now 37.3¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$45.76
$-1.59
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1875 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$42.19
$12.19
- YES
Will Croatia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
179 shares @ 28.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$36.61
$-13.39
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1750 shares @ 1.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$35.87
$10.88
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1732 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$28.58
$-1.42
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3611 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$27.08
$-2.91
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2652 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$25.19
$-4.81
- YES
Will Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
120 shares @ 25.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$21.60
$-8.40
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?$17.31Jun 11, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?$5.18Jun 11, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$5.19Jun 11, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?$5.18Jun 11, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$15.56Jun 11, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$48.32Jun 11, 16:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?$29.39Jun 10, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29.11Jun 10, 16:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$4.15Jun 9, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.45Jun 9, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$48.23Jun 9, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.98Jun 9, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.26Jun 9, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$20.46Jun 9, 00:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $35.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 15:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.