Innocent-Antecedent
0x6982df1242410470bf858263799ef4270a6c267d
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Paprika Recipe Manager 3 be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120,000 and $122,000 on September 19?
320 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $3.40 on September 19?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-4.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.90
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11?$161.16Jun 11, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11?$161.01Jun 11, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$160.77Jun 2, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$159.07Jun 2, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$159.16Jun 1, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$159.01May 31, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$158.59May 30, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$157.08May 30, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$157.16May 29, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$157.01May 29, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$157.58May 29, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$156.93May 28, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$156.16May 25, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$156.01May 25, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 3?$156.66May 19, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 3?$155.07May 19, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$155.16May 18, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$155.01May 17, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$155.01May 16, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$127.43May 16, 05:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $132.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 07:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 18:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.