Polished-Foray
0x6992d56559dd30b5b5d0f5ca3d5427f9e94e6c1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$13.5K
Total PnL
$-9.6K
Realised
$7.9K
Win rate
72%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
22032 shares @ 22.5¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.6K
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
21073 shares @ 12.2¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$-570.53
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
8898 shares @ 50.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$-3.5K
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
7945 shares @ 39.9¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$913.67
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
6729 shares @ 15.7¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$874.75
$-179.82
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
4800 shares @ 27.3¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$840.01
$-469.59
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
3992 shares @ 33.1¢·now 20.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$830.35
$-491.63
- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
3000 shares @ 30.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$720.00
$-180.00
- YES
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
8721 shares @ 12.4¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$392.46
$-687.82
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
2900 shares @ 14.8¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$391.49
$-36.50
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.19Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$98.00Jun 13, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?$21.51Jun 13, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?$16.50Jun 13, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?$96.00Jun 13, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?$16.50Jun 13, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?$42.90Jun 13, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$82.65Jun 13, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$0.15Jun 13, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$0.15Jun 13, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$0.15Jun 13, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$0.60Jun 13, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$0.17Jun 13, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$0.30Jun 13, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$0.15Jun 13, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$0.31Jun 13, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$0.15Jun 13, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$0.15Jun 13, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$0.15Jun 13, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$0.15Jun 13, 06:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $29.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 14:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.