0x69d749a22af49f93ed7f611a0db7265b88c2bf5f
0x69d749a22af49f93ed7f611a0db7265b88c2bf5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$250.14
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
544 shares @ 36.8¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$182.28
$-17.72
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
714 shares @ 28.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.86
$-132.14
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
4230 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-676.48
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
1029 shares @ 48.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
971 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
931 shares @ 53.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
385 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
256 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.