Interesting-Randomization
0x69dbc5459c261f2c9871fb705abca057fe498bd3
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$9.40
Total PnL
$5.2K
Realised
$5.2K
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
134 shares @ 11.2¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.40
$-5.60
- YES
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
244 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?
203 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$10.40Jul 25, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?$10.38Jul 25, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$10.38Jul 25, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?$15.67Jul 25, 06:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
10/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $11.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 06:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 06:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.