Scented-Marxism
0x69dcf8fc254c9acff196aa047f02b4888fca0cf5
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$3.3K
Total PnL
$87.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
1000 shares @ 75.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$880.00
$130.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$855.00
$-65.00
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
472 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$444.48
$-4.22
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 13?
248 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 13, 2026$246.88
$2.60
- YES
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?
208 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$207.74
$4.81
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 13?
124 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$123.94
$1.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 12?
124 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$123.94
$1.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 12?
124 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$123.94
$8.62
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 13?
124 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 13, 2026$123.57
$0.93
- YES
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
117 shares @ 93.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$116.37
$6.31
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 13?$124.0013m ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 13?$102.1324m ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 13?$209.2256m ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12?$124.003h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 12?$124.003h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 13?$124.003h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 13?$175.393h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 13?$64.674h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 13?$34.404h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 12?$124.004h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 12?$124.004h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 12?$247.994h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 12?$3.044h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 13?$120.285h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 13?$122.706h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 13?$14.646h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 13?$1.636h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 13?$39.206h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 13?$33.066h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 13?$44.316h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $85.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 17d ago
- Last active
- 13m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
