French-Pseudoscience
0x69e82bc240eabbc87de96659eb408915a12a35b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$6.55
Total PnL
$-64.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.3¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.55
$0.09
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 7?
6388 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.39
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 7?
2119 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 3?
2085 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on May 4?
2071 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.14
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 1?
2068 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 6?
2016 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.05
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 12?
1841 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.68
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 11?
1834 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.66
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 3?$13.32Jul 3, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 3?$13.25Jul 2, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$6.59Jun 30, 22:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $180 end of June?$5.33Jun 30, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$6.58Jun 25, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $180 end of June?$5.31Jun 20, 02:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $275?$4.01Jun 12, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $275?$4.00Jun 12, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$6.02Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$6.00May 26, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$6.04May 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$6.00May 20, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 14?$3.64May 14, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 12?$3.68May 12, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 11?$0.01May 12, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 11?$3.65May 12, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 10?$3.63May 11, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 9?$1.8KMay 10, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 9?$1.8KMay 10, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 9?$1.8KMay 9, 23:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $361.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 01:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.