Unfolded-Term
0x69eb26838875acf639492a1a50bc78b26687fa92
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$50.96
Total PnL
$-21.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
72 shares @ 83.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.96
$-9.04
- UNDER
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5
12245 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.0K
- MAGIC
Spread: Magic (-13.5)
8000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
- UNDER
Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5
7843 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
- PACERS
Spread: Suns (-8.5)
5200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.6K
- OVER
Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5
4286 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- MAGIC
Spread: Magic (-14.5)
2128 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- OVER
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5
1923 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-999.96
- OVER
Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5
788 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-362.42
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?$10.28Jun 6, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$10.13Jun 6, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?$60.38May 31, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$60.00May 31, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?$60.06May 28, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$9.98May 13, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.00May 13, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 18?$27.00May 13, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$9.62Apr 18, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$9.50Apr 18, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 18?$20.44Apr 18, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Thunder$5.86Apr 18, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMCanucks vs. Golden Knights$6.67Apr 18, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanucks vs. Golden Knights$5.00Mar 30, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Thunder$5.00Mar 30, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Timberwolves (-6.5)$4.8KMar 14, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Timberwolves (-6.5)$2.4KMar 13, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5$1000.00Mar 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5$3.0KMar 13, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulls vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5$362.42Mar 13, 16:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $749.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 19:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 12:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.