Keen-Wallet
0x69ebc966345d2113095cae24066620cf5e241f04
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$75.44
Total PnL
$-900.64
Realised
$0.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
90 shares @ 79.0¢·now 62.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$56.91
$-14.57
- NO
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.57
$3.82
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.53
$1.52
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.43
$-0.57
- NO
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by October 31?
1033 shares @ 66.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-691.62
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
181 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-149.89
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
74 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-43.10
- NO
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$149.89Apr 3, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$71.48Apr 3, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?$221.36Apr 3, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?$189.83Mar 28, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?$29.76Mar 28, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYViktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?$7.00Mar 23, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?$226.59Mar 23, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?$219.39Mar 22, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$219.39Mar 22, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$173.76Mar 16, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 16, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$163.76Mar 16, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$34.82Mar 13, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?$0.00Mar 13, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.15Mar 13, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?$0.00Mar 13, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?$40.97Mar 13, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?$40.03Mar 12, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$118.24Mar 8, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$118.24Mar 7, 21:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $57.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 06:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 14:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.