Barren-Tusk
0x6a0fda946715c9d9337d2bb1dc12ae254f61601a
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$161.82
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
554 shares @ 36.1¢·now 21.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$117.65
$-82.35
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
327 shares @ 10.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$27.31
$-7.69
- YES
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
733 shares @ 6.8¢·now 2.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$16.85
$-33.15
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?
5221 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 80k?
2205 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in May 2026?
2129 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
1667 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
1484 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?
1322 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.11Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$206.39Jul 20, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$36.56Jul 20, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$52.33Jul 20, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.0KJul 20, 01:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$4.16Jul 17, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.2KJul 17, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$0.00Jul 15, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$1.1KJul 15, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$12.11Jul 15, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$117.65Jul 15, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$5.75Jul 14, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$6.65Jul 14, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$61.47Jul 14, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$351.52Jul 14, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$376.86Jul 14, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$800.27Jul 14, 21:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $123.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 10:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.