Amused-Industry
0x6a4492bc67b2260a9176d447f77d14b6bc0e1fda
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$138.51
Total PnL
$-9.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
101 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$101.10
$9.10
- YES
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$21.74
$1.74
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
16 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
22 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$15.03Jun 6, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$92.33Jun 6, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$29.29Jun 6, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$23.60May 25, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$21.05May 25, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 21?$122.22May 25, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$20.06May 17, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$110.00May 17, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?$16.96May 17, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?$16.80Apr 18, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Monaco win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$14.48Apr 18, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup?$24.07Apr 18, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?$26.57Apr 18, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup?$24.08Apr 7, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?$26.50Mar 26, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monaco win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$14.48Mar 10, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Spurs$3.06Mar 10, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?$12.67Mar 10, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?$12.58Mar 6, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Spurs$2.80Mar 6, 02:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $25.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 03:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 12:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.