Cruel-Tumbler
0x6a5986dfe4c453cedcd8d68e5220619c2f6be605
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$569.69
Total PnL
$-46.37
Realised
$2.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4992 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$267.09
$9.00
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
667 shares @ 15.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$103.33
$3.33
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1042 shares @ 9.6¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$100.52
$0.52
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$19.52
$9.52
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
18 shares @ 56.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$16.52
$6.52
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.49
$6.49
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$15.67
$5.67
- YES
Will Karrigan retire by June 30?
337 shares @ 2.3¢·now 4.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.80
$6.06
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1700 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.65
$-2.55
- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.50
$-2.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karrigan retire by June 30? $4.81Jun 5, 18:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.40Jun 4, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.00Jun 4, 00:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.71Jun 3, 22:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$100.00Jun 2, 20:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$2.08Jun 1, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.04Jun 1, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.3KJun 1, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$13.16Jun 1, 12:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$29.91May 31, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$39.28May 31, 13:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 31, 00:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.40May 30, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.14May 30, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $218.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".