Sturdy-Threshold
0x6a82d5db7712b6fe17231b4f202bad8244bdb6bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-274.59
Realised
$-35.76
Win rate
9%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 6?
1272 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-13.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on March 6?
735 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 6?
618 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.34
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?
573 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 6?
403 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 6?
293 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 6?
248 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or higher on March 6?
215 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on March 7?
199 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
199 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-43.68
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$43.79Apr 9, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$42.28Apr 8, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$22.00Mar 17, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$22.00Mar 17, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$11.94Mar 17, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$6.60Mar 17, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$3.50Mar 17, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$3.00Mar 17, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$4.90Mar 17, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$4.00Mar 17, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$11.38Mar 17, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$3.60Mar 17, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$14.89Mar 17, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 13:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $8.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 11:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 06:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".