Slushy-Compost
0x6aa2672a51b507be50d6d8b3230f35098f126a1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$-687.91
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
55842 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-242.30
- YES
US forces in Venezuela by October 31?
5715 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-244.92
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
5645 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-565.46
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
3333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
3195 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-281.65
- YES
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
2631 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-169.93
- YES
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?
2273 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?
1976 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
1743 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-63.78
- YES
Will the US strike Nigeria next?
1473 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$145.54May 23, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$12.85May 1, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$213.49May 1, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$20.60May 1, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$103.00May 1, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$561.13Apr 16, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?$52.08Apr 12, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$52.07Apr 10, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$319.28Apr 2, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$319.29Apr 2, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$499.75Mar 29, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$119.94Mar 27, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK strike Iran by March 31?$8.89Mar 22, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$8.89Mar 22, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$234.32Mar 22, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$234.32Mar 22, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$199.89Mar 22, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$222.83Mar 21, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$466.72Mar 21, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$14.05Mar 20, 19:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $132.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 07:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 20:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.