Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Probability
17¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-2.5pp
24h Vol
$8.4K
Liquidity
$28.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+4.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1601.2h
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 18¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 20¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 20¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 19¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 16¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 18¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.html
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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