Honorable-Strike
0x6abd7255dadd0a8c46faa1403182e884493663e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.69
Realised
$-0.19
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Lee Jin-sook win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Peter Newman win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "AMARGA NAVIDAD by Pedro ALMODÓVAR" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
159 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 16?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
11 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Frontline (FRO) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Leonie Bartsch win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?$18.97Aug 16, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonie Bartsch win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?$19.00Aug 16, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIran invades Kuwait by August 31?$18.97Aug 16, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran invades Kuwait by August 31?$19.00Aug 16, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs INOX Division (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs$0.55Aug 16, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs INOX Division (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs$1.01Aug 16, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D$0.82Aug 16, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D$1.02Aug 16, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew McMeekin win the 2026 PLL Face-Off Player of the Year?$19.64Aug 16, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew McMeekin win the 2026 PLL Face-Off Player of the Year?$20.00Aug 16, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marvin Opamin Dupal-ag win the special election to fill the Cavite 4th congressional district seat in the Philippine House of Representatives?$19.98Aug 16, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marvin Opamin Dupal-ag win the special election to fill the Cavite 4th congressional district seat in the Philippine House of Representatives?$20.00Aug 16, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D$1.12Aug 16, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$18.97Aug 16, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D$1.01Aug 16, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group$0.76Aug 16, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$19.00Aug 16, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group$1.02Aug 16, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round$1.39Aug 16, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round$1.02Aug 16, 10:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $8.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 20:36 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 18:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.