PoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 3, 2026

Will Lee Jin-sook win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Probability

1¢

1h

-0.1pp

24h

-1.1pp

24h Vol

$2.2K

Liquidity

$9.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 23, 2026, 23:00Apr 25, 2026, 20:54
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 1¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $9.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 915.1h

    LOW

Price movement

-1.2pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventDaegu Mayoral Election Winner
Category · Politics

Market Description

The Daegu mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
nec.go.kr
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

19 wallets
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